Recoil Case is a CS2 case with 17 items plus 24 gold entries. It costs $0.17; opening it with the key comes to $3.01. The expected value of the contents is $0.81 — a 26.8% unboxing ROI, or 30.2% when trade-up contracts are factored in.
Takeaway: an opening costs $3.01 and returns $0.81 on average — a 73.2% long-run loss. The median opening returns $0.05: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 94% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.
Where Recoil Case came from
More facts about Recoil Case
July 1, 2022release date · 4 yr ago
in drop poolweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
−12.6%price over 2 weeks
25,385live listings in our DB
$62.93buy all 17 non-gold skins
Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 17 regular skins cost $62.93 — the price of 20.9 openings at $3.01 each. The priciest is USP-S | Printstream at $27.88, the cheapest is MAC-10 | Monkeyflage at $0.03.
The case is in the weekly drop pool, so supply is replenished every week — too early to bet on price growth.
No. An opening costs $3.01 ($0.17 for the case plus $2.84 for the key) while the contents average $0.81 — a 26.8% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 3.0%.
How much does it cost to open Recoil Case?
$3.01: the case itself is $0.17 (cheapest on BUFF163) plus the $2.84 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Recoil Case?
The median single opening returns $0.05 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $3.01 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $0.46.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Recoil Case ROI rises from 26.8% to 30.2%.
What are the knife odds in Recoil Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 24 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $1,175.
Where is Recoil Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $0.17 on BUFF163; the highest we track is $0.47 — a 176% spread between markets.
Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.
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