Recoil Case is a CS2 case with 17 items plus 24 gold entries. It costs $0.26; opening it with the key comes to $2.90. The expected value of the contents is $0.93 — a 32.0% unboxing ROI, or 39.4% when trade-up contracts are factored in.
Takeaway: an opening costs $2.90 and returns $0.93 on average — a 68.0% long-run loss. The median opening returns $0.05: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 91% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.
Where Recoil Case came from
More facts about Recoil Case
July 1, 2022release date · 4 yr ago
in drop poolweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
−0.6%price over 2 weeks
9,994live listings in our DB
$65.61buy all 17 non-gold skins
Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 17 regular skins cost $65.61 — the price of 22.6 openings at $2.90 each. The priciest is USP-S | Printstream at $29.88, the cheapest is M4A4 | Poly Mag at $0.04.
The case is in the weekly drop pool, so supply is replenished every week — too early to bet on price growth.
No. An opening costs $2.90 ($0.26 for the case plus $2.64 for the key) while the contents average $0.93 — a 32.0% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 4.0%.
How much does it cost to open Recoil Case?
$2.90: the case itself is $0.26 (cheapest on LIS-SKINS) plus the $2.64 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Recoil Case?
The median single opening returns $0.05 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $2.90 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $0.52.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Recoil Case ROI rises from 32.0% to 39.4%.
What are the knife odds in Recoil Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 24 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $1,135.
Where is Recoil Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $0.26 on LIS-SKINS; the highest we track is $0.47 — a 81% spread between markets.
Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.
CS2Price