Operation Wildfire Case is a CS2 case with 16 items plus 13 gold entries. It costs $2.44; opening it with the key comes to $5.28. The expected value of the contents is $2.49 — a 47.2% unboxing ROI, or 47.5% when trade-up contracts are factored in.
Takeaway: an opening costs $5.28 and returns $2.49 on average — a 52.8% long-run loss. The median opening returns $0.83: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 54% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.
Where Operation Wildfire Case came from
More facts about Operation Wildfire Case
February 17, 2016release date · 11 yr ago
retiredweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
−3.2%price over 2 weeks
1,577live listings in our DB
$152buy all 16 non-gold skins
Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 16 regular skins cost $152 — the price of 28.8 openings at $5.28 each. The priciest is AK-47 | Fuel Injector at $83.73, the cheapest is SSG 08 | Necropos at $0.31.
The case is retired from weekly drops: no new copies enter the game, and existing ones are consumed by openings.
No. An opening costs $5.28 ($2.44 for the case plus $2.84 for the key) while the contents average $2.49 — a 47.2% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 7.4%.
How much does it cost to open Operation Wildfire Case?
$5.28: the case itself is $2.44 (cheapest on CSFloat) plus the $2.84 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Operation Wildfire Case?
The median single opening returns $0.83 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $5.28 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $3.70.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Operation Wildfire Case ROI rises from 47.2% to 47.5%.
What are the knife odds in Operation Wildfire Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 13 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $2,063.
Where is Operation Wildfire Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $2.44 on CSFloat; the highest we track is $5.10 — a 109% spread between markets.
Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.
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