Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — 58.5% ROI, $4.84 price | CS2Price
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Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — ROI, contents & prices

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — CS2 case

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is a CS2 case with 14 items plus 65 gold entries. It costs $4.84; opening it with the key comes to $7.48. The expected value of the contents is $4.38 — a 58.5% unboxing ROI, or 60.3% when trade-up contracts are factored in.

Open the simulator & full breakdown →

$4.84case price
$2.64key
$7.48full opening cost
58.5%Unboxing ROI
60.3%ROI with contracts
10.2%chance to profit per opening
$1.99median single opening
Takeaway: an opening costs $7.48 and returns $4.38 on average — a 41.5% long-run loss. The median opening returns $1.99: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 35% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.

Where Operation Vanguard Weapon Case came from

More facts about Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

November 11, 2014release date · 12 yr ago
retiredweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
+5.7%price over 2 weeks
111live listings in our DB
$188buy all 14 non-gold skins

Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 14 regular skins cost $188 — the price of 25.1 openings at $7.48 each. The priciest is AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel at $72.70, the cheapest is G3SG1 | Murky at $0.59.

The case is retired from weekly drops: no new copies enter the game, and existing ones are consumed by openings.

Where to buy Operation Vanguard Weapon Case cheaper

#MarketCase priceWith key
1CSFloat$4.84$7.48
2Skinport$4.91$7.55
3YouPin898$5.04$7.68
4BUFF163$5.29$7.93
5CS.MONEY$5.43$8.07
6Market.CSGO$5.49$8.13
7LIS-SKINS$5.74$8.39
8Waxpeer$6.90$9.54
9Steam$7.95$10.59

The Steam sales median is about $8.44 — 74% above the lowest marketplace price.

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case price history

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Knives & gloves in Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

The gold odds are 0.26% — about one opening in 391, roughly $2,926 spent. The pool has 65 entries; prices are averaged across wears.

ItemAverage price
★ Karambit | Fade$1,791
★ Karambit$995
★ Karambit | Slaughter$944
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade$915
★ Karambit | Blue Steel$729
★ M9 Bayonet$719
★ Karambit | Case Hardened$717
★ Karambit | Crimson Web$697
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter$692
★ Karambit | Stained$539
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web$526
★ Karambit | Night$502

Showing the top 12 of 65 entries. The full pool with per-wear prices is in the case card.

What is inside Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

Odds are per exact item, accounting for tier size. Prices are averaged across wear buckets with a 10% StatTrak adjustment.

Mil-Spec Grade — odds 79.92%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard15.98%$3.73
MP9 | Dart15.98%$2.29
G3SG1 | Murky15.98%$1.89
MAG-7 | Firestarter15.98%$1.32
UMP-45 | Delusion15.98%$1.20

Restricted — odds 15.98%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
M4A1-S | Basilisk4.00%$10.41
M4A4 | Griffin4.00%$7.74
Glock-18 | Grinder4.00%$5.34
Sawed-Off | Highwayman4.00%$1.66

Classified — odds 3.20%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
XM1014 | Tranquility1.07%$15.85
P250 | Cartel1.07%$11.06
SCAR-20 | Cardiac1.07%$9.77

Covert — odds 0.64%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel0.320%$81.68
P2000 | Fire Elemental0.320%$79.95

FAQ

Is opening Operation Vanguard Weapon Case worth it?
No. An opening costs $7.48 ($4.84 for the case plus $2.64 for the key) while the contents average $4.38 — a 58.5% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 10.2%.
How much does it cost to open Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
$7.48: the case itself is $4.84 (cheapest on CSFloat) plus the $2.64 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The median single opening returns $1.99 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $7.48 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $7.73.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case ROI rises from 58.5% to 60.3%.
What are the knife odds in Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 65 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $2,926.
Where is Operation Vanguard Weapon Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $4.84 on CSFloat; the highest we track is $7.95 — a 64% spread between markets.

All CS2 cases with unboxing ROI →

Prices updated:

Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.