Falchion Case — 40.2% ROI, $1.35 price | CS2Price
CS2Price CS2Price

CS2Price › CS2 Cases › Falchion Case

Falchion Case — ROI, contents & prices

Falchion Case — CS2 case

Falchion Case is a CS2 case with 16 items plus 13 gold entries. It costs $1.35; opening it with the key comes to $4.19. The expected value of the contents is $1.68 — a 40.2% unboxing ROI, or 41.7% when trade-up contracts are factored in.

Open the simulator & full breakdown →

$1.35case price
$2.84key
$4.19full opening cost
40.2%Unboxing ROI
41.7%ROI with contracts
6.7%chance to profit per opening
$0.61median single opening
Takeaway: an opening costs $4.19 and returns $1.68 on average — a 59.8% long-run loss. The median opening returns $0.61: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 68% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.

Where Falchion Case came from

More facts about Falchion Case

May 26, 2015release date · 11 yr ago
retiredweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
+1.5%price over 2 weeks
1,453live listings in our DB
$72.54buy all 16 non-gold skins

Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 16 regular skins cost $72.54 — the price of 17.3 openings at $4.19 each. The priciest is AWP | Hyper Beast at $26.10, the cheapest is P90 | Elite Build at $0.19.

The case is retired from weekly drops: no new copies enter the game, and existing ones are consumed by openings.

Where to buy Falchion Case cheaper

#MarketCase priceWith key
1CSFloat$1.35$4.19
2Skinport$1.41$4.25
3BUFF163$1.48$4.32
4CS.MONEY$1.50$4.34
5Market.CSGO$1.50$4.34
6LIS-SKINS$1.51$4.35
7Waxpeer$1.53$4.37
8YouPin898$1.62$4.46
9Steam$2.46$5.30

The Steam sales median is about $2.80 — 108% above the lowest marketplace price.

Falchion Case price history

Loading price history…

Knives & gloves in Falchion Case

The gold odds are 0.26% — about one opening in 391, roughly $1,636 spent. The pool has 13 entries; prices are averaged across wears.

ItemAverage price
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter$184
★ Falchion Knife | Fade$177
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened$146
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web$124
★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel$122
★ Falchion Knife$93.82
★ Falchion Knife | Stained$73.83
★ Falchion Knife | Night$70.92
★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked$69.00
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched$60.73
★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest$59.63
★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT$54.78

Showing the top 12 of 13 entries. The full pool with per-wear prices is in the case card.

What is inside Falchion Case

Odds are per exact item, accounting for tier size. Prices are averaged across wear buckets with a 10% StatTrak adjustment.

Mil-Spec Grade — odds 79.92%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
Galil AR | Rocket Pop13.32%$1.49—
USP-S | Torque13.32%$0.99—
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner13.32%$0.89—
Nova | Ranger13.32%$0.40ffffff
UMP-45 | Riot13.32%$0.39—
P90 | Elite Build13.32%$0.36—

Restricted — odds 15.98%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo3.20%$4.78—
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart3.20%$2.24—
FAMAS | Neural Net3.20%$1.93—
P2000 | Handgun3.20%$1.26—
Negev | Loudmouth3.20%$0.78—

Classified — odds 3.20%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
MP7 | Nemesis1.07%$10.22—
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket1.07%$5.27—
SG 553 | Cyrex1.07%$5.26—

Covert — odds 0.64%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge0.320%$42.66—
AWP | Hyper Beast0.320%$37.30—

FAQ

Is opening Falchion Case worth it?
No. An opening costs $4.19 ($1.35 for the case plus $2.84 for the key) while the contents average $1.68 — a 40.2% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 6.7%.
How much does it cost to open Falchion Case?
$4.19: the case itself is $1.35 (cheapest on CSFloat) plus the $2.84 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Falchion Case?
The median single opening returns $0.61 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $4.19 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $2.52.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Falchion Case ROI rises from 40.2% to 41.7%.
What are the knife odds in Falchion Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 13 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $1,636.
Where is Falchion Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $1.35 on CSFloat; the highest we track is $2.46 — a 82% spread between markets.

All CS2 cases with unboxing ROI →

Prices updated:

Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.