Falchion Case — 47.1% ROI, $1.51 price | CS2Price
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Falchion Case — ROI, contents & prices

Falchion Case — CS2 case

Falchion Case is a CS2 case with 16 items plus 13 gold entries. It costs $1.51; opening it with the key comes to $4.15. The expected value of the contents is $1.95 — a 47.1% unboxing ROI, or 51.6% when trade-up contracts are factored in.

Open the simulator & full breakdown →

$1.51case price
$2.64key
$4.15full opening cost
47.1%Unboxing ROI
51.6%ROI with contracts
7.7%chance to profit per opening
$0.70median single opening
Takeaway: an opening costs $4.15 and returns $1.95 on average — a 52.9% long-run loss. The median opening returns $0.70: half of all tries return that much or less. The key eats 64% of your spend. A full breakdown of every case is in the article Best CS2 cases in August 2026.

Where Falchion Case came from

More facts about Falchion Case

May 26, 2015release date · 11 yr ago
retiredweekly drops · as of 2026-07-02
+8.7%price over 2 weeks
231live listings in our DB
$77.64buy all 16 non-gold skins

Buying the contents outright is cheaper than unboxing: all 16 regular skins cost $77.64 — the price of 18.7 openings at $4.15 each. The priciest is AWP | Hyper Beast at $27.82, the cheapest is Nova | Ranger at $0.23.

The case is retired from weekly drops: no new copies enter the game, and existing ones are consumed by openings.

Where to buy Falchion Case cheaper

#MarketCase priceWith key
1CSFloat$1.51$4.15
2Skinport$1.54$4.18
3YouPin898$1.62$4.26
4LIS-SKINS$1.67$4.31
5BUFF163$1.67$4.31
6CS.MONEY$1.68$4.32
7Market.CSGO$1.70$4.34
8Waxpeer$1.76$4.41
9Steam$2.46$5.10

The Steam sales median is about $2.61 — 73% above the lowest marketplace price.

Falchion Case price history

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Knives & gloves in Falchion Case

The gold odds are 0.26% — about one opening in 391, roughly $1,624 spent. The pool has 13 entries; prices are averaged across wears.

ItemAverage price
★ Falchion Knife | Fade$197
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter$186
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened$160
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web$128
★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel$123
★ Falchion Knife$105
★ Falchion Knife | Night$73.79
★ Falchion Knife | Stained$73.75
★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked$73.08
★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest$59.90
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched$58.93
★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT$56.79

Showing the top 12 of 13 entries. The full pool with per-wear prices is in the case card.

What is inside Falchion Case

Odds are per exact item, accounting for tier size. Prices are averaged across wear buckets with a 10% StatTrak adjustment.

Mil-Spec Grade — odds 79.92%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
Galil AR | Rocket Pop13.32%$1.64
USP-S | Torque13.32%$1.16
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner13.32%$1.11
UMP-45 | Riot13.32%$0.50
P90 | Elite Build13.32%$0.46
Nova | Ranger13.32%$0.44ffffff

Restricted — odds 15.98%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo3.20%$5.95
FAMAS | Neural Net3.20%$3.23
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart3.20%$2.72
P2000 | Handgun3.20%$1.43
Negev | Loudmouth3.20%$0.80

Classified — odds 3.20%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
MP7 | Nemesis1.07%$12.52
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket1.07%$5.51
SG 553 | Cyrex1.07%$5.46

Covert — odds 0.64%

ItemOddsAverage priceAuthor
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge0.320%$45.90
AWP | Hyper Beast0.320%$41.68

FAQ

Is opening Falchion Case worth it?
No. An opening costs $4.15 ($1.51 for the case plus $2.64 for the key) while the contents average $1.95 — a 47.1% ROI. The chance a single opening returns more than you spent is 7.7%.
How much does it cost to open Falchion Case?
$4.15: the case itself is $1.51 (cheapest on CSFloat) plus the $2.64 key. Keys are sold only by Valve at a fixed price.
What do you usually get from Falchion Case?
The median single opening returns $0.70 — half of all openings return that much or less against a $4.15 cost. The best 10% of openings drop an item worth more than $2.79.
What does the "with contracts" column mean?
Some drops are worth more as trade-up contract inputs than sold outright. Counting the better of "sell" vs "feed into a contract", the Falchion Case ROI rises from 47.1% to 51.6%.
What are the knife odds in Falchion Case?
0.26% — roughly one opening in 391. The gold pool has 13 entries picked with equal probability; the wear rolls separately. That many openings cost about $1,624.
Where is Falchion Case cheapest?
Right now the low is $1.51 on CSFloat; the highest we track is $2.46 — a 63% spread between markets.

All CS2 cases with unboxing ROI →

Prices updated:

Prices are aggregated from 11 marketplaces into our own database and refresh automatically; USD values are converted from RUB at the current central-bank rate. CS2Price does not sell items — we compare prices and compute profitable trade-up contracts. Not affiliated with Valve.